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Fundamentally the US dollar as the worlds reserve currency is on it’s way out because it has been devalued yet artificially propped up to an extent where it is creating unbearable global financial tensions. These can not be undone unless the rest of the world is prepared to continue to pay for America’s corporate and Government colonialism, false economic and social values – and their unpopular warmongering.
It turns out that the rest of the world is going to turn around and sticks two financial fingers in the direction of the USA. Asian economies have started the trend to de-pegging currencies from the dollar. There is a big push in this direction in the middle East too. If Europe does not follow suit soon we will be the losers whilst those who decouple from the US will win.
Most central banks do not want this to happen. They fear the devaluation of their dollar denominated “investments” (read worthless pieces of paper or numbers in a computer). They are afraid of global financial collapse.
Bad luck guys. We are in a global financial collapse, it has been a long time coming and the rest of the world is waking up to the fact that it is not just the American currency, but the American social, political and economic model we must de-couple from. The dollar investments ARE worthless – the US has no chance of ever paying it’s debts. It is bankrupt.
What are they going to do? Print more dollars to pay the debt? They can not – every time they print a dollar at the federal reserve it creates a one dollar debt at the treasury. You can’t print your way out of too much printed money.
So we have to de-couple from the USA. If we do not do so we will get dragged down the pan with them. The UK, being lead by some of the most profoundly ignorant people having been educated in outdated institutions, places great and unearned trust in America. We are less likely to decouple from America than other countries – not least because the US security apparatus have a lot of very messy information on our politicians, bigwigs, royal family and such they have gathered over many years.
The UK pound is taking a bashing because we are perceived to be one of the most stupid countries in the world in that we are least likely and will be the latest acting in decoupling ourselves from the US model. The last out will be the worst affected.
My advice to Gordon Brown: Tell Obama that he needs to impeach and imprison the former presidents Bush I, Bush II (AKA limited functionality version), and vice president Cheney. It is essential they are in solitary for the second stage to work and he can use his powers as President to name them as “Enemy Combatants”, giving him the power to imprison them in solitary for three years.
Then he must nationalise the Federal Reserve or the bankers will just pull the rug from under him.
Next start a real investigation into 9/11 – in the knowledge that the FBI, FEMA, CIA, NSA and other security apparatus of the US Government, though nominally under his watch will still be controlled by agents of the Bush family, and can thus not be trusted at all. Promote all US defence staff and security staff to whistle-blow and provide a means for them to do so and security measures for them.
It might be messy but it is better to have an honest mess than a dishonest mess. At least you know what you are dealing with. As long as we play the “Ostrich game” we may as well have our heads buried in the shape-shifting quick-sand that is “US Government policy”.
Axel Merk talking on Bloomberg about the fall of the US Dollar and de-pegging of currencies:
So why is it ABSOLUTELY IMPERATIVE we must decouple politically and economically as soon as possible from the USA? Simply put: the American social and economic model has lead to the most greedy and selfish nation in the world (the US uses 30% of world resources and has 6% of the world population), the most aggressive nation in the world (US Aircraft carriers displace more water than the rest of the world’s combined), and the most politically corrupted system anywhere in the world (in the last seven years the Bush administration has rewritten and nullified the US constitution through back door get out clauses).
This selfish, greedy, aggressive and corrupt nation will pull us down with it – in an attempt to save themselves – at our cost. It is already happening. Foreign central banks have pumped billions of US$ into the system to see them disappear into black smoke. Now there have already been complaints that US commercial banks are using the bail-out money to create asset backed debt instruments packed with crap loans expressly to sell to foreign central banks. This is a direct attempt to export more American ignorance in the form of packaged loans. Luckily the Central banks are onto this already.
If they put one cent into these “assets” they are adding to your personal debt. Wherever you are in Europe your Government has made you personally indebted to the tune of tens of thousands of dollars this year alone – irrespective of your own financial thrift, you are now a debtor. Let’s not let this situation continue one day longer.
Instead let’s face the music and dance: It is time for the US dollar to fall. It is time for the US people to consume much less. It is time for the small cabal of international bankers and politicians that have deliberately manipulated and created this situation – in order to profit from it – to be placed behind bars whilst we unravel the unholy mess they have tried to drop on our doorsteps.
Citibank, having already announced it is to sack 50,000 employees worldwide is being nationalised by the US government. And still the markets rise – why?
At the end of last week the DJI threatened falling below 7,500 a psychologically significant number. A combination of three factors lead to the rise in markets at the end of last week:
Firstly the news of Obama’s treasury secretary being widely leaked – of course the markets love the idea that the chairman of the NY fed will run the treasury. They could hope for no better friend.
Secondly the 7,500 barrier on the DJI. A lot of people are still thinking this is a market correction gone too far already. They are on the wrong side of the fence and have set themselves nominal figures under which they will buy stocks as they must be “cheap”. For some this is 8,000 for others 7,500. They are arbitrary choices. Buying activity by people with their heads stuck in the sand certainly contributed to the rise in the DJI at the end of the week.
Lastly the majority of active short term players and traders in the market are now betting it will go down but they do not like taking short positions and leaving them open over the weekend. The ban on short selling securities has far from stopped activity whereby one sells a future or a contract for difference or other instrument that has a knock on effect on the underlying market, with a view to profiting from market falls.
These traders short the market every time they see it peaking and then they hold the position and profit as the market falls. But they do not know what news will occur over the weekend and with volatile markets such as these and so they are closing positions on Friday afternoons pushing up end of week market vluations.
The short and medium term outlook for the DJI is still downwards. It will be under 7,500 before Christmas and probably nearer 5,000.
Buddhism tells us that we will suffer for our passions, our greed, our hatred and our ignorance. Out of ignorance of how money really works many people have seen their house price soar, borrowed money against it and indulged their passions, greed and desires. They never believed that the floor could fall out from under them as the house price bubble burst.
Well now it has burst. People will be angry at the banks that foreclose on them and literally pull the rug out from under their feet, the governments that allowed this to happen and anyone else they can pick as a scapegoat.
Buddhism tells us not to get drawn into the materialistic world of fulfilling our desires but instead tells us that by looking within and cultivating certain virtues we can be happier people whatever the ups and downs of life bring. We can develop insight – into how our minds and bodies function, how we are conditioned into reacting in certain ways and how we can, through this very insight, undo that conditioning. We can become wise and overcome our ignorance. Through understanding the roots of anger and hatred we can overcome these too.
Buddhism suggests a simple life is probably a more fulfilling one. Yet that is only true if one is awake to each moment of life and able to achieve the fulfilment of each moment. As long as one is haunted by the nightmares of the past or dreams of the future one is distracted from now. As long as one is consumed with desire or anger one is distracted from now.
There will be a lot of very unhappy people acting out of fear, anger, desire and ignorance in the coming weeks and months as the full impact of the credit crunch takes bite. Most will react like lemmings – from their conditioning. So attached to their million pound home, now worth half that, their fancy car they can not afford to run these people are failing to do now what is the only way through a credit crunch: Cut back quicker and better than anyone else does. Either that or start the credit crunch filthy rich so credit is not an issue for you at all. In depressions the wealthy tend to accumulate much more wealth whilst the poor lose what little they have.